A new CNBC-Change Research poll shows that Biden holds a 3-point lead overall in the critical states of Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The former vice president holds a lead in all six states, but it is just 1 point in North Carolina, 2 points in Arizona, and 3 points in Florida and Pennsylvania, with a 5-point lead in Wisconsin, and a 6-point lead in Michigan.
Biden trailed Trump by a single point in North Carolina in the CNBC-Change Research poll released earlier this month, but now leads 48 percent to 47 percent. Former President Obama is the only Democrat to win his presidential race in North Carolina in recent years, doing so in 2008 before losing in 2012.
In Florida, a state Trump cannot afford to lose, the president cut the gap with Biden in half. Biden led by 6 points earlier this month, but now has just a 3 point edge. In Arizona, a state no Democrat has won in the presidential race since 1996, Biden leads Trump 49 percent to 47 percent.
Trump won the presidency in 2016 by shocking Democrats with wins in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. He was the first Republican to win Pennsylvania and Michigan since George H.W. Bush in 1988, and the first to win Wisconsin since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
The race is close in all three states, though the new polls showing a tighter contest in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In Michigan, Biden leads 50 percent to 44 percent; in Pennsylvania he’s up 49 percent to 46 percent; and in Wisconsin, Biden leads 49 percent to 44 percent, up 2 points from earlier this month.
The poll was conducted in the days immediately following last week’s Democratic National Convention, and provides one of the first snapshots of Biden’s post-convention support. Nationally, he received a slight bump, widening his lead over Trump to 8 points from 6 points earlier this month.
Biden’s speech on the final night of the convention received generally positive reviews, according to the poll, with 71 percent of likely battleground state voters and 70 percent of likely national voters who watched it reporting a positive reaction.
The poll does show some positive battleground state trends for Trump, however. In the six battlegrounds, the number of voters who expressed serious concern about the ongoing coronavirus pandemic ticked downward by 4 points, while approval of Trump’s handling of the outbreak rose by 3 points.
His overall job approval in the battleground states, meanwhile, ticked up to 48 percent, a 2-point increase from earlier this month. Nationally, the president’s job approval remained unchanged at 45 percent, according to the CNBC-Change Research poll.
The poll surveyed 4,904 likely voters in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin from Aug. 21-23. It also surveyed 2,362 likely voters for its national poll. The margin of error is 1.4 percentage points for the battleground state survey and 2.02 for the national results.
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Source: The Village Reporter